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May 24, 2004 I was talking with someone the other day when I made the observation that in American politics, optimists usually beat pessimists. There are cycles to this of course. The '60's and 70's were a pessimsistic time, how else could Nixon have been elected twice? I think this could serve as a useful barometer as to who is going to win in November. For the most part democrats are the pessimists and republicans tend to be the optimists. Now, of course, this isn't universal. Clinton was an optimist for the most part. Or at least he masked his left wing rantings with a smile. But think about it. Reagan(probably the most optimistic person ever to win the white house)trounced Carter in 1980, and his vice president in 1984. Pessimism is dangerous in American politics. Look at Pat Buchanan. This is a man so pessimistic that he couldn't have secured the nomination had he marched into the convention with a battalion of Marines, to coerce the delegates. And since this is not a pessimistic era, the optimists have the advantage. This does not look good for John Kerry then, which is fine with me. Kerry keeps griping about how this is the worst economy since the depression, despite the fact that we have added hundreds of thousands of jobs in the last 6 months and the unemployment rate is at 5.6%, yeah a real depression that we have going here. Kerry has based his campaign on pessimism and disaster. He needs economic collapse and military disaster for him to be successful. It must be great to be a democrat. President Bush, on the other hand, is an optimistic type of guy. He is in the mainstream with most americans. There is an inherent belief, for the most part, that this country will continue to improve. This is one reason why I think President Bush will be reelected. Kerry must convince the American public that this country is hell on earth, or about to become hell on earth. I don't see too many people buying it. But then I may be too optimistic. On to something else. Ahmed Chalabi, a controversial figure to be sure, is being attacked by the idiots in the state department. The same people who believe that there are moderates in the Iranian governemnt, and by the fools in the CIA, the same people who hit the Chinese embassy in Belgrade because they used old maps. Chalabi, from what I have heard of him, is probably our best friend in Iraq. Can we stop the infighting and get back to fighting the jihadis already? Micheal Leeden wrote a excellent article on this today, writing much better than I can so if you want to see an experts take on this go to nationalreview.com Let's make victory our top priorty and get back to fighting the islamofascists. ------------ Email Craig Chamberlain: craig_chamberlain@hotmail.com Tell a friend about this site! ------------ |
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