HOME | POLITICS | SPORTS | LIFE | SCI/TECH | OPEDS | HELPFUL TIPS
|
Sept. 12, 2008 Viability Factor The proliferative inclinations of a given nation are often rooted in an intense desire to become a globally viable entity. While this viability factor is usually the result of economic and or military efficiency, it is the military viability that comes immediately upon the acquisition of nuclear weapons that has attracted the attention of nations from all over the world. Additionally, the acquisition of nuclear weapons has proven to be quite the facilitator in regards to luring nations into lucrative economic treaties. Lately, the intent of many of these treaties have been geared towards convincing nations to disarm their nuclear capabilities. For example North Korea and Libya have agreed to end their nuclear weapons based exploits whether it be through disarmament in the infancy stages of their nuclear weapons capabilities or by ending their nuclear weapons program altogether in exchange for economic packages put together by the United States of America. Neither Libya or North Korea could have expected to be pushed towards sufficiency due to their history of sponsoring terror, however by obtaining the military viability that comes from acquiring a nuclear arsenal, they were able to use the same to obtain economic viability. Regrettably, there are also cases where a given nation has been given lucrative economic packages to engage in proliferation in order to help that nation and its benefactor achieve an exponential increase in regional and global viability. The relationship between Russia and Iran clearly represents this horrific scenario, as Russia continues to give the terror sponsoring nation nuclear technology that has perepheral benefits in regards to the development of nuclear weapons. An Iran with nuclear weapons could challenge Pakistan for regional dominance in the Middle East while using its terror affiliations to destabilize the same. In this scenario, Russia would have significant influence over theatre occurrences in the oil rich region. This scenario could lead to significant proliferation amongst state sponsors of terror in the Middle East, as Pakistan, who has already set the precedent for state sponsors of terror to become nuclear powers would now be given credit for starting a trend instead of being an anomaly in that respect. Evolution of Terrorism Nowhere has the evolution of terrorism become more prevalent than at the state level, as Pakistan has become the first terror sponsoring nation to acquire a nuclear weapons capability. This is a major paradigm shift that suggests that terror sponsoring nations have an agenda that includes the use of nuclear weapons in the future. As Iran grows ever closer to becoming the second state sponsor of terrorism to acquire a nuclear weapons capability, the strategic picture becomes clearer in regards to what can be expected from these types of nations once they acquire nuclear weapons. An Iran with nuclear weapons can be expected to share nuclear weapons technology with non state actors like Hezbollah who have a long standing history of support from Iran. Pakistan, who has a significant amount of Al Qaeda and Taliban sympathizers within its government and intelligence services would then follow suit by sharing nuclear technology with Al Qaeda in order to keep pace with Iran in the competition for strategic dominance over events in the Middle East. This competition will motivate Pakistan to sever ties with the United States, as this alliance threatens to neutralize Pakistan's influence within the region. In the future, a nuclear Iran would also facilitate a Shiite triumvirate consisting of Iran, Iraq and Syria should U.S. forces pull out of Iraq in 2011 as scheduled. Proxy War Relationships Proliferation has had a profound effect on the current status of proxy war relationships. In fact, in some cases, proliferation has facilitated proxy war groupings. Pakistan's nuclear achievements clearly motivated Washington to forge an alliance with the terror sponsoring nation in order to guarantee that some semblance of security is being undertaken with regard to Pakistan's nuclear arsenal. This was another paradigm shift in that a state sponsor of terror has aligned itself with an internationally respected and globally viable super power. This was and is a disappointing development that led to Russia's irresponsible actions concerning the sharing of nuclear technology with Iran. Flashpoint Intervention based Crises Scenarios Russia's aggression against the U.S. backed Georgian nation has clearly articulated the fact that potential flashpoint intervention based crises scenarios must be meticulously analyzed through war gaming theories and military planning so as to avoid these types of conflicts in the future. ------------ About the author: Terrance Jones is the author of American Warfare: Merging Dominant Stratagems and American Warfare 2: The Counter Terror Primer. Sergeant Jones (ARNG) can be reached at:tjonespubam@yahoo.com Comment on this article here! ------------ All articles are EXCLUSIVE to Useless-Knowledge.com. Please link to this article rather than copying and pasting it onto your site (which would be unauthorized and illegal). |
||||||
|
|
|||||||
|
