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May 23, 2007
I didn’t mean to suggest that Frederick
Smith is expecting to find other worlds exactly like those in Star Wars. I only meant to suggest that it is as
obvious as can be that Smith is completely saturated with notions that he got
from science fiction. Yes, I too
have a great imagination. My novel,
A Tale Of Ung, takes place in Ti, a galaxy some
megaparsecs from the Earth. But I
know that, in reality, this galaxy could never, never be reached by people from
our planet. Alas! For it’s such a beautiful place! Smith analogizes the conquest of space to the
building of the pyramids, as if it were an exstablished fact that the Pharaohs,
overcoming all reservations, achieved their goal. But the truth of the matter is that the
Pharaohs sought to reach the Sun, but never got anywhere near. So the pyramids remain as a monument to
the failure of their ambitions. And
I think that therefore the analogy is very suitable, but not in the way Smith
meant. I think ultimately the space
program will be similarly aborted, unless we look to dim centuries of the
distant future. Then Smith starts talking about nuclear pulse
propulsion, which he says enables spaceships to reach 10% of the speed of
light. However, as Smith
acknowledges, this kind of propulsion is still in the experimental stages. NASA’s Operation Longshot produced
a design that would enable a ship to reach Alpha Centauri is 100 years. That’s only 4% of the speed of
light, and it wasn’t done; it was just talked about. Smith goes on to mention a number of projects
that will locate earth-like or habitable planets with much more accuracy than
has been done so far. Perhaps 150
planets within 45 years will be found.
Great! Great! But locating a planet with sophisticated
interferometers and telescopes is one thing. Going to the planets is
another. I’d be awfully
reluctant to target a planet 45 light years away just because a wobble in the
parent star suggested the proximity of some earth-sized planet. Smith pooh-poohs the need for building a
planetary biodome per se, reasoning that a spaceship itself is a biodome of
sorts. Perhaps we needn’t
land on a planet al all. So why are
we targeting planets? Just shoot
the thing off into space in any direction.
All we need is energy and raw materials, says Smith. To me that’s an insurmountable
order. Are you just going to send
spacepeople to their deaths? Surely
they can’t live forever aboard a spaceship. They’d need an infinite supply of
energy and raw materials. The point
wasn’t lost one me, as Smith puts it; I just didn’t take it
seriously. Then Smith really goes headlong into the realm
of fantasy by saying that we will exist as software aboard these ships, so we
won’t need food or water. I
think he got this idea from Frank Tipler, a Anyway, Smith points out quite accurately that
planet Earth cannot support five or ten times the present population, so we
ought to be looking to outer space for salvation. I don’t see how converting some thousands
or even millions of people into software and shipping them out towards the
stars is going to help the population crisis back
home. If we don’t care when
or if the ships arrive at some planet, we can send them out now. They may be floating in space for eons,
but do we care? The way to deal
with population at home is to start imposing birth control. Smith acts as if I am some sort of dullard who
has no interest whatsoever in the possibility of the existence of
extraterrestrial beings. It’s
quite the contrary. As old as I am,
I often find myself daydreaming about distant worlds. But I simply don’t see a way to
get there. There are galaxies out
there that have trillions of stars apiece.
Surely somethere among those millions of millions, there must be
wondrous empires far exceeding anything in Star Wars. But hoping to go
there is like falling in love with a woman who lives in an electron that you
have magnified billions of times.
Good luck winning her hand! Smith says I once wrote that I consider
astrobiology a ‘fake’.
I don’t know if I used that word. Perhaps I did. I don’t consider it a fake so much
as a waste of time. How can a
university set up a curriculum to study life on other planets? What are they going to study? Are they going to classify possible
plants and animals? It may be precarious to have the whole human
race on one planet. Naturally it
would be better if we had several homelands. But Smith calls it
‘foolhardy’, as if we have a choice that we are stubbornly refusing
to make. But so far, we don’t
have that choice. There’s
only so much we can do, and we have no guarantee of eternal life. One day, we may have to face up to the
fact that the human race, like the race of dinosaurs, is mortal. Smith acts as if I were undervaluing the
accomplishments made to date on the moon, when I said that they were only
“in the realm of the possible”. All I meant is that a lunar station is
only of limited use for the time being. Smith makes fun of my idea of colonizing Then Smith derides my excerpts from a NASA
article, by saying, in effect, that NASA consists of many, many scientists,
some of whom agree with me and some of whom agree with him, the latter of
course being the ones that we should be listening to. They are the ones who are working to
improve the prospects of the human race.
I think they’d do better by tackling desalination of seawater and
extraction of uranium from seawater. We’ve sent thousands of supertankers of
fuel across the oceans, so what’s the problem with sending into space the
thousands more that we’ll need to get a single spaceship to the nearest
star? However those maritime
supertankers accomplished a little more than delivering digitalized spacemen,
never to return, on the wild goose chase of all time. It costs $10,000 a pound to send
something into space, Smith continues.
Launching a thousand supertankers, each with a
deadweight of 600,000 tons, would cost us $12 quadrillion dollars, which
is the Gross World Product for 250 years. It took only 200 years to build Smith lambastes my myopia, arguing that because
we don’t yet have fusion reactors, I’ve concluded that they must be
thousand of years away. Well, show
me one, and I’ll revise my views.
They may come about in 100 years, or a 1000, or never, I’m sure I
don’t know. Offhand, it seems
to me that you would have to create a facsimile of the Sun to produce a fusion
reactor, but how can you replicate the Sun without replicating the tremendous
solar mass? ------------ About the author Thomas Keyes: I have written two books: A SOJOURN IN ASIA (non-fiction) and A TALE OF UNG (fiction), neither published so far. I have studied languages for years and traveled extensively on five continents. Email: udikeyes@yahoo.com Comment on this article here! ------------ All articles are EXCLUSIVE to Useless-Knowledge.com and are not allowed to be posted on other websites. ARTICLE THIEVES WILL BE PROSECUTED! |
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