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Exploding The War-For-Oil Myth

By Thomas Keyes
Oct. 18, 2006

US petroleum consumption in 2004 amounted to 7,557,000,000 barrels per year. US net petroleum imports—the sum of imports of crude oil and imports of petroleum products less total petroleum exports—amounted to 4,415,000,000 barrels per year. So the US imported about 58% of the petroleum that it consumed. I got these figures from ethanolmarket.com. However, I converted all the figures from barrels per day to barrels per year, rounding to the closest million, so that there are trivial discrepancies. Here is their fact sheet:

http://www.ethanolmarket.com/petroleumfacts.html

Out of net petroleum imports then, crude oil imports, as distinguished from imports of petroleum products, amounted to 3,682,000,000 barrels a year. Here is a breakdown by country. Notice that the total I have shown is 3,692,000,000, with a cumulative rounding error, as I mentioned. My source was the US Government’s Energy Information Administration, whose figures I converted again from barrels a day to barrels a year, rounding to the nearest million:

http://www.eia.doe.gov/neic/rankings/crudebycountry.htm

Canada……….590,000,000

Mexico……….583,000,000

Saudi Arabia……….546,000,000

Venezuela……….473,000,000

Nigeria……….393,000,000

Iraq……….239,000,000

Angola……….112,000,000

Kuwait……….88,000,000

United Kingdom……….97,000,000

Ecuador……….85,000,000

Algeria……….78,000,000

Russia……….57,000,000

Norway……….52,000,000

Colombia………52,000,000

Gabon……….52,000,000

Argentina……….22,000,000

Brazil………19,000,000

Trinidad and Tobago……….18,000,000

Indonesia……….12,000,000

Australia……..8,000,000

Libya……….7,000,000

Cameroon……….7,000,000

Guatemala……….7,000,000

Malaysia……….7,000,000

Brunei……….5,000,000

China— Beijing ……….5,000,000

Congo—Kinshasa……….5,000,000

Oman……….4,000,000

Congo—Brazzaville……….3,000,000

United Arab Emirates……….2,000,000

Ivory Coast……….2,000,000

Qatar……….1,000,000

Yemen……….1,000,000

Denmark……….1,000,000

Others……….59,000,000

Total……….3,692,000,000

From the EIA’s figures, we can ascertain that 876,000,000 barrels per year came from the Persian Gulf countries, to wit, Bahrain, Iraq, Iran, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. This is 11.6% of total US petroleum consumption.

It can be seen from the list also that only 239,000,000 barrels out of 7,557,000,000 were imported from Iraq . This amounts to slightly over 3% of total US consumption.

As of October 13, 2006, nationalpriorities.org showed that the cost of war in Iraq has mounted to $334,000,000,000. Anyone consulting their website in the future will see a slightly higher figure, but for now let us just accept the one I’ve quoted. Here is their Iraqometer:

http://nationalpriorities.org/index.php?optionfiltered=com_wrapper&Itemid=182

If the total cost of the war in Iraq , to date, had been defrayed by levying an excise tax on crude oil imported from Iraq in the calendar year 2004, it would have amounted to $1397 a barrel, which of course is outrageous and preposterous. If we spread it over a 10 year period then, assuming imports remain steady, it still amounts $140 a barrel. If we spread it over 100 years, it amounts to $14 a barrel.

Most of those who cry, “The war is for oil,” are people who cannot see the real mainspring of the war—the Israel Lobby—but grab instead at what seems the most obvious scapegoat—oil. This is a sort of misinformed wannabe cynicism or realism. They think they are providing shrewd, “streetwise” insights that more artless people do not understand. They think they know the ropes. They think they know the score. They think they know what time it is. Unfortunately, most of these people do not run figures and do not understand figures that other people run.

It should be obvious, however, to anyone who can and will check the figures, that the war cannot possibly be justified as a cunning economic move to enable the US to get inexpensive oil. Does it make sense to pay an excise tax of $14 a barrel for 100 years to secure a supply of cheap petroleum from Iraq ? No way!

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About the author Thomas Keyes: I have written two books: A SOJOURN IN ASIA (non-fiction) and A TALE OF UNG (fiction), neither published so far.

I have studied languages for years and traveled extensively on five continents.

Email: udikeyes@yahoo.com


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