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A Perfect Storm

By Brooks A. Mick, M.D.
Oct. 9, 2006

We've had enough of storms recently in Virginia. The remnants of Ernesto passed over. The storm passed over very slowly, dropping 8-10 inches of monsoon-like rains accompanied by gusty winds, sending several neighborhood trees crashing into houses. And then a plain old out-of-the-west band of storm clouds struck Virginia over the past weekend--and then just stalled, parking long enough to again pour 8 inches or more of rain into parts of Virginia that had already been washed out by Ernesto.

Still, it wasn't as bad as when the weak class 1 hurricane, Isabelle, blew through a couple years ago. Some remains of the damage from that storm are still visible.

A perfect storm, in my mind, would be one that doesn't happen.

Which brings me to the hurricane season this year. Our weather forecasters, hurricane prediction experts, and climatologists predicted a much worse than usual hurricane season, one to rival perhaps last year's plethora of hurricanes which included Katrina.

One of our global warming freaks has continually made much of how accurate our scientists are in predicting hurricane seasons, which makes them equally reliable in predicting the climate hundreds of years in the future.

Well, I agree, they are just as accurate. Which means they aren't accurate or reliable at all.

All through this hurricane season, one predicted to be much worse than average, the USA has been hit by--DRUM ROLL!--exactly ZERO hurricanes. Fewer than usual formed and none have made it our shores.

Why is this so if hurricane predictors and climate prophets have been bleating about the horrors of global warming and how global warming will make hurricanes more frequent and stronger? Despite the predictions of global warming, the oceans have actually been cooler than in preceding years. Ocean temperature is a primary factor in the strength of hurricanes.

This entire hurricane season has been a series of perfect storms, hurricanes which just didn't occur or which didn't reach much strength and all of which failed to strike the USA. The predictions of the hurricane experts were also an imaginary storm which didn't happen. And the predictions of the global warming hysteriacs will also, I predict, fail to come to pass. Thus we will be treated to a global warming perfect storm: one which doesn't occur.

Lastly, don't bet the farm on the global warming predictions. One mutual fund manager has, along with billions of dollars, already bitten the dust by buying into weather predictions.

"The weatherman got it wrong again, and this time he disrupted more than a picnic.... Perhaps the biggest loser was Amaranth, the Greenwich, Connecticut-based hedge fund that had $9.5 billion in assets as recently in August. After gambling that gas prices would rise, Amaranth lost $6.5 billion as they tumbled. The fund is closing." --Bloomberg, 6 October 2006

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About the author Brooks A. Mick: Physician, still practicing medicine but retired from the US Army. Write just for the fun of it, but working on novel in the vein of Tom Clancy's politico-military genre.

Email: brooks15@cox.net


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